Editor’s Pick
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Is Big Australia a big mistake or a big lie?
Roger Montgomery
December 19, 2024
Why do we have a housing crisis? We’re told it’s because there isn’t enough housing, so the price to purchase or rent is too high for young people. There’s no denying the truth of those two answers. One might, however, choose to dig a little deeper: Why do we not have enough houses in Australia, and why are prices so high? continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick.
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How to become poor: sell raw materials, buy the end product
Roger Montgomery
December 10, 2024
This article was first published in The Australian on 30 March 2013.
Back in 2013, Wesfarmers (ASX:WES) chairman and head of a business council panel on the decline of value-adding and manufacturing in Australia Bob Every described Australia as a mere “quarry”. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick.
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The Trump effect on small cap stocks
Roger Montgomery
November 12, 2024
Since 2022, we have predicted that small cap stocks, especially those representing innovative businesses with pricing power, would do well in an environment of disinflation and positive economic growth. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Small Caps.
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Sectors poised for growth under Trump’s administration
Roger Montgomery
November 11, 2024
One of the most frequently asked questions by investors following Trump’s election victory is: what sectors will do well? While much remains unknowable about Trump’s second term, his “promises made, promises kept” statement during his victory speech suggests not all is a mystery. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Market commentary.
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The character of a President
Roger Montgomery
November 6, 2024
As the world watches the U.S. vote, it turns the page on a new and arguably uncertain chapter. I have just read a startling essay about Donald Trump’s character. One marvels at Americans’ willingness to vote for such a person as President. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Global markets, Popular.
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Always bet on self-interest
Roger Montgomery
November 5, 2024
Famed 20th-century British author Gilbert Chesterton (1874-1936) once observed, “The poor have sometimes objected to being governed badly. The rich have always objected to being governed at all.” continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick.
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Is AI a fad?
Roger Montgomery
October 25, 2024
If you spend enough time embedded in the world of equities and markets, you eventually see it all. Acknowledging the generations of investors before my generation, I am sure there is still more to see and experience. But from the 33-odd years I have been doing this, I like to think there’s a few things I am now able to recognise. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, Technology & Telecommunications.
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A three-piece update to Nick Scali furniture
Roger Montgomery
October 23, 2024
Nick Scali (ASX:NCK) released a trading update along with first half earnings guidance. Most analysts conclude that the update was a downgrade to the first-half consensus net profit after tax (NPAT); longer-term investors will look beyond the short-term effects of higher freight charges. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Companies, Editor's Pick, Small Caps, Stocks We Like.
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MEDIA
Market volatility and the unbottling of ‘turning points’
Roger Montgomery
October 2, 2024
It was, for example, wise to be alert to the possibility of a large move lower if volatility emerged after a long rally. And while it has been my experience that volatility does indeed cluster around major turning points, it’s possible I only remember what I want to. continue…
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Editor's Pick, In the Press, Market commentary.
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A portrait of Australia
Roger Montgomery
September 30, 2024
A portrait of Australia’s biggest issues in eight charts. Why eight? – it’s a lucky number of course!
I have put together a concise snapshot of the complex economic challenges shaping Australia today.
by Roger Montgomery Posted in Economics, Editor's Pick, Property.
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When I worked in derivatives trading in the early ’90s, one of the accepted truths about market behaviour was that “volatility picks up around turning points”.